Monday 9 July 2007

Example #8 - Final showdown

DealerW
VulE/W
ScoringMP
LeadJ
64
QJ7
AT97
T854
AQ9
T864
8653
K3
JT7
AK52
KQ42
AJ
K8532
93
J
Q9762

WestNorthEastSouth
pp1NTp
2p2p
3p4p
pp

North takes DA, returns D10, and your Q is ruffed with H3.
South leads S5 and the 9 in dummy wins. You try H10: J, A, and the 9 from South. When you cash HK, South pitches a small S.

This is the position, including all known cards:
 
Q
97
AQ
86
86
K3
JT
52
K2
AJ
K
This is not a difficult hand ... the easiest solution is to claim 10 tricks, announcing you're going to strip the black suits (taking another S finesse) and endplay North by playing a trump.
North will only be left with losing options: playing into the D tenace, or giving a ruff-sluff.

But Aruf didn't play this way: he cashed CK and CA, played to SQ, and played a trump - without cashing SA.
North was indeed endplayed, but only because he started with only 2 Spades ... and Aruf KNEW it.

1 comment:

bboinquiry said...

This is another example of drawing the conclusion you want (chating) based on no evidence. First, the socre of +420 on this hand earned 38.1% for Aruf. Second, every player made 4H or more, more often than not by a line very similar to Aruf. And third, Aruf line was virtually assured to work from the PLAY of the cards (his line was not as 100% as a complete strip of the black cards, but was essentially assured to be right).

Aruf;s RHO showed up with 3H and 4D, and his LHO with 1D and 2H. That left his RHO wth 10 black cards, and his RHO with 6. On the second round of hearts, his RHO threw a spade and from the play in spades (north high lowed with 64, and LHO lead normal 3rd best and then played two lower, and LHO pitched a spade and the spade king still had not show up after the second round, and when RHO followed to the second round, it is a almost a mortal lock that RHO distribution is 2-3-4-4. Why? With 6C, lho would not have throw a spade from Kxxx originally, and the spots would not have been played this way (4rd best, and high low in the suit).

For this event, Aruf had a reasonable 58.34% score and it looks like a section top or a second place finish.