Saturday 21 July 2007

Example #22 - Final showdown

A familiar theme ... you can see South has an obvious D lead, so:
DealerS
VulAll
ScoringImp
Lead8
976542
9
43
Q653
KJ8
AQJ743
A2
T2
QT
K62
Q975
AJ94
A3
T85
KJT86
K87

WestNorthEastSouth
   p
1p3NTp
pp

Declarer now has 11 tricks, but Aruf thought he could go for a 12th by taking the double C finesse.
His arithmetic turned out to be faulty and he ended up with only 10 tricks. No big loss in IMPs, especially since most declarers playing in H were held to 10 tricks as well.

1 comment:

bboinquiry said...

Another hand that proves nothing at all, other than declearer played poorly. The 3NT bid was a typical junior bid, and happens 100 times an hour on the BBO. 3nt with "12-15" and 3 card support for openers major is not unusual. Typically the doubleton should be a sure stopper, but juniors thing QT's are golden.

The fact that he managed 10 tricks with 11 assured after a small diamond lead, 6H, 2S, 1C, 2D, is hardly proof of cheating. More likely, it was an example of I have made my IMP game, and he just took a 75% line for 10 tricks when even 9 will do rather than playing carefully for 11 tricks.

To really investigate this hanad, one has to know how the player bids 3NT after 1M typically. Does he frequently do this with 3 card support. Does 3NT promise 3 card support? IS the player the "pro" with the client, and wants to play as many hands as possible (and so bidding is distorted). It is simply not possible to look at this hand in isolation and draw a conclusion that UI exist.